Portugal - Liga Portugal
16:30
Sunday 01 November
FC Arouca - Nacional da Madeira prediction
Double chance
Double chance 12 (no draw)
Odds
1.25
Probability
77 %
Total goals
Over 1.5 goals in the match
Odds
1.26
Probability
76 %
Match analysis
FC Arouca host Nacional da Madeira in Portugal - Liga Portugal on Sunday 01 November 2026, 16:30 (Douala time). Our model estimates expected goals at 1.87 for FC Arouca and 0.90 for Nacional da Madeira, around 2.8 goals in total. The home side has a clear attacking edge.
Probabilities are obtained by removing the margin from each market's odds, then cross-checked with a Poisson model. Only selections where market and model agree are kept.